The State of the Race

An average of averages built to give a clearer picture of the national political landscape.

Plus/minus badges show each percentage’s change since last week.

Analysis

Latest analysis

Original posts, race updates, and a closer look at the political landscape.

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Generic Congressional Ballot

Democrats
47.1%—
Republicans
42.7%—

Algorithm adjustment: D+1.6 — change since last week.

Percentages may not total 100% because each average is calculated separately.

Trump Approval Rating

Approve
38.5%—
Disapprove
58.3%—
Percentages may not total 100% because each average is calculated separately.

Senate Races

Dems51
/
GOP49
Projected Senate seats

Governor Races

Dems25
/
GOP25
Projected governorships

House Races

Dems230
GOP205
Based on current averages